Disease Atlas: Early Warning System for Epidemics and Pandemics

saurabh.singh
3 min readSep 7, 2016

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There is nothing that math can’t do. Chasing quantitative knowledge and pursuing my knack for computational methods provided me years of experience; writing mathematical equations and developing models that best capture a situation. Hailing from India, the dismal state of healthcare touches me. This spark is fueled by the worsening state of health, the world-over. Disease Atlas is a long-time overdue. Through analysis and my strong aptitude for computational mathematical models, surfaced an idea: creating a prediction tool for epidemics/pandemics that serves as an early warning system for “At Risk” countries.

CDC Healthcare Worker

Ebola 2014, Swine Flu 2015, Zika 2016.

In 2015, there were roughly 214 million malaria cases and an estimated 438,000 malaria deaths globally. 3.9 billion people, in 128 countries, are at risk of infection from dengue viruses. The rise of vector-borne diseases costs India 3 billion USD on average and thousands of its populace. When they go international, the pandemics claim billions more and millions of the global populace.

Wouldn’t it be nice to live in a world where everyone is apprised of the conditions they are living in, in a way that allows them to make the right choices for their quality of life, and those of others? We here at Brainpan Innovations believe that this can be a reality.

Just imagine tuning your TV, or radio to the news. After the weather forecast is a Disease forecast. The weather guy says there will be rain. The disease guy says there is a high chance of dengue. You take your umbrella and smear on some of that mosquito repellent.

The government can fumigate hot-spots. The pharmaceuticals will have a better idea of demands of different regions and can deal with the logistical-nightmare of making lifesaving medication available when needed. Just maybe; now it’s a dream. Treatment will be targeted and preventive. We plan to eliminate the unpredictability of diseases and create reliable data pools for concerned agencies. A consequence of such a sweeping and coordinated effort will be awareness of the masses; in understanding diseases and their nature. Gone are the days where, like unsuspecting morons, we walk into a cesspool, inhaling pathogens, leaving for another cesspool, and exhaling pathogens. Bid farewell to the contradictory reports which can’t decide whether emptying mosquito-repellent into your homes is better than abandoning your neighbourhood. We will widen the range of approaches to dealing with disease. Solutions, here before, unheard of.

This is our vision.

Simply put, we build mathematical models that quantify diseases and help in their early discovery, early intervention, regular monitoring and efficient prediction.

Brainpan Innovations is an Indian start-up that is developing its core project “Disease Atlas”. We have an interdisciplinary team of computational scientists, computer scientists, geologists, engineers, mathematicians and medical doctors studying environmental factors conducive to a particular pathogen in a particular region. Product Development is at the stage of Minimum viability. Having filed Patents for Cholera, Typhoid, Malaria, Dengue, and Influenza under the name of “Device and method for Predicting Disease Outbreak”, in India, we aim to develop supporting surveillance, case management and logical support through active community engagement and collection of real time data on infected people.

This is the promise of Disease Atlas.

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